Expert Week 14 NFL Picks Advice Tips for Pick em Pools Survi

Posted by seestyle on July 25th, 2022

If there's a theme for pick 'em pools this week, it's don't overlook favorites. Season records only mean so much, as recent trends might matter more. For survivor pools, it's all about balancing current win odds with future values. Fortunately, the experts from are once again here to help with tips and strategy advice for your Week 14 NFL picks.

Armed with the information below, you can make calculated bets on high-value Week 14 picks in your football poolsand avoid trendy upset picks that aren't worth the risk. TeamRankingsis the only site that provides customized picks that maximize your edge in survivor pools. Since 2017, TeamRankings subscribers have reported nearly.5 million in survivor pool winnings.

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Week 14 NFL Pick 'em Pool Tips, Analysis

Review of last week's pick ' Kent Tekulve Jersey em analysis

Last week, we discu sed three teams: Cleveland, Tampa Bay, and Tenne see. At the time we wrote the article, Tampa Bay was a to s-up and Tenne see was the underdog. By Sunday, all three ended up being the favored team. The public was picking against each of them over 60 percent of the time.

While the Browns struggled against Pittsburgh, both Tampa Bay and Tenne see won. As a result, the public averaged 1.26 wins acro s those three games, while taking all three unpopular favorites netted us two wins.

WEEK 14 FANTASY RANKINGS: | | | | |

Value picks for NFL Week 14 pick 'em pools

Getting the biggest edge in your NFL pick 'em pool requires knowing not only every team's win odds (i.e. how risky of a pick it is), but Colin Moran Jersey also how popular of a pick it is. Why? Because when you pick le s popular teams and they win, you'll shoot up your office pool standings.

Based on win odds and pick popularity, the three teams below offer some of the best opportunities to differentiate your Week 14 picks from your pool opponents. To get all our pick recommendations for your pool -- customized for its size, rules, and prize structure --check out our .

Note: Win odds and estimated national pick popularity data below may change between publication time and kickoff time. If you want to see the latest numbers, our football picks product updates multiple times per day.

Value Favorite

Week 14 features three favorites that the public is picking at a lower rate than their chance to win. These types of teams are as close as you can get to no brainer picks in NFL pickem contests, since both win odds and value are on your side.

Tenne see Titans (at Oakland)

The Tenne see Titans have won five of their last six games, corresponding with the team benching Marcus Mariota at quarterback and going with Ryan Tannehill. Oakland has lost their last two games by a combined 62 points, and have now been outscored by 97 points on the season.

So it's a little surprising that the public is still somewhat enamored with the Raiders, picking them 61% of the time this week. Oakland is a deceiving 6-6 (most teams that get outscored by that much have far worse records) and the public may be slow in responding to Tenne see. Our predictive ratings Keone Kela Jersey have the Titans at No. 12 and Oakland at No. 26, separated by 7.7 points on a neutral field. Tenne see is favored by 3 points, and our models give them a 64-percentchance of winning.

You can take the betting favorite, and a team that is playing much better of late, and gain ground on about 60% of your pool if the Titans win.

Los Angeles Chargers (at Jacksonville)

The Jacksonville Jaguars are another team going in the wrong direction, and the public does not seem to be willing to fully jump off them. The public is taking the Jaguars 59% of the time, while the Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this game.

Jacksonville has lost four games in a row, all of them by at least 17 points. They benched Nick Foles at halftime of the last game and re-inserted Felipe Vazquez Jersey Gardner Minshew at quarterback.

Part of the reason that the public is favoring the Jaguars in this one is that the Chargers are also 4-8, and have been a disappointment. But unlike Jacksonville, the Chargers have been in pretty much every game. The Chargers are an amazing 2-8 in one-score games this year.

Dallas Cowboys (at Chicago)

You've probably seen the factoid that the Dallas Cowboys haven't beaten a team with a winning record this year, and that continued on Thanksgiving when they played dreadfully at Kyle Crick Jersey home against Buffalo in a game the entire nation watched.

Well, with Chicago sitting at 6-6, that will factoid will still hold true regardle s of the outcome of this game. The Cowboys can either get criticized for only beating bad teams if they win, or losing to good teams if Chicago beats them.

Dallas is favored by 2.5 points in Chicago, with 57% win odds, and the public is taking the Bears more than half the time (53%) right now, so there is value on the Cowboys.

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Week 14 NFL Survivor Pool Pick Tips, Analysis

Review of last week's survivor pick analysis

With the public going heavily on Carolina, we recommended the Chiefs to over half of the remaining entries of our subscribers. So, for the second time in a month, over 60 percentof the public was wiped out with big upsets while our recommendations survived at a much higher rate.

The public survived at a 37-percentrate in Week 13while our recommendations survived 70 percentof the time. Cumulatively, based on elimination rates each week, only about 0.6 percentof public entries are estimated to be alivecompared to 4.8 percentfor our recommendations. That amounts to a survival rate about eight times as high as the public.

Week 14 survivor pool breakdown

Green Bay, Houston, and Minnesota lead the way in survivor popularity for Week 14. The Green Bay Packers arethe most popular choice (39-percent pick popularity) hosting Washingtonand havethe highest win odds of the week at 87 percent.

The Minnesota Vikings havewin odds (85 percent) almost as good as Green Bay, as they play a Detroit team starting rookie David Blough at quarterback. They are also far le s popular (10 percent). Thats because Minnesota has been heavily Barry Bonds Jersey used in several weeks, including being used by over 50 percentof the public back in Week 8. The Vikings have the highest expected value because of their high win odds and low popularity, but they're not available to many entries.

The Houston Texans popularity has climbed to 24 percentthis week. The Texans are a tier below the Packers and Vikings in win oddswith a 79-percent chance of winning against Denver. They also have