Heat Pump Market Likely To Touch At 6.6 Billion By 2030: Grand View Research Inc.

Posted by Mrudula Anil Karmarkar on January 8th, 2025

San Francisco, 08 January 2030: The Report Heat Pump Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Technology (Air Source, Water Source), By Capacity (Up To 10 kW, 10 To 20 kW), By Operation Type (Electric, Hybrid), By Application, By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2024 - 2030

The global heat pump market size is anticipated to reach USD 166.6 billion by 2030, expanding at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. Favorable government policies for energy-efficient solutions and lowered carbon footprint are expected to boost the market growth over the forecast period. In addition, consumer-driven demand for energy-efficient heat pumps to reduce energy consumption and lower operating expenses are expected to benefit the overall market over the forecast period.

The emergence of climate and energy as a political priority has spurred an increased interest in heating and energy efficiency gains to be realized within buildings. Increasing disposable income has led to the growing demand for technologically advanced equipment and comfortable housing solutions, which is further projected to boost the demand for heat pumps. These factors are expected to play a vital role in driving the market growth.

Governments across the globe are becoming increasingly aware of the risks associated with fossil fuels and are adopting environment-friendly options. Furthermore, initiatives like the federal tax credit for new residential heat pumps in the U.S. was extended until the end of 2022. The California Energy Commission passed a new building energy code in August 2021, which encouraged the use of heat pumps for space and water heating in newly constructed buildings. All these aforementioned factors are expected to boost the demand for heat pumps in the coming years.

According to International Energy Agency, heat pumps continue to cover only a small portion of domestic heat demand, while fossil fuel-based solutions accounted for roughly half of the global heating equipment sales in 2020, with the majority of heat pumps being installed in new buildings. However, various factors including regulatory development, enhanced construction requirements favoring heat pumps in new buildings, and rising air conditioning demand are likely to boost the adoption of heat pump technologies in the coming years.

Heat pump players are seeking mergers & acquisitions, partnerships, and investments to develop advanced and innovative solutions. In addition, players are also adopting several strategies such as product launches, research & development, and geographical expansion to increase their market penetration. For instance, in April 2023, Daikin invested USD 327.9 million and expanded its production facility in Poland. This new factory will start the production of the heat pumps and it will cater to various European countries such as Belgium, Germany, and the Czech Republic.

In February 2023, LG introduced an air source heat pump (ASHP) capable of heating 200-270 liters of residential water. The pump has a coefficient of performance (COP) of up to 3.85 and uses R134a as a refrigerant.

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Favorable government policies for energy-efficient solutions and lowering carbon footprint are anticipated to boost market growth over the forecast period. Many governments are providing subsidies or incentives and tax credits & rebates for the installation of heat pumps are expected to further fuel the demand for energy-efficient heat pumps, thereby, benefitting the growth of heat pump industry.

Heat Pump Market Report Highlights

  • In 2023, the air-source technology segment dominated with a revenue share of over 84.6%. The growth of this segment can be attributed to the benefits such as energy-efficient, low carbon emission, low maintenance, easy installation process, use in space heating and hot water, and high seasonal coefficient of performance
  • The residential application segment accounted for 86.0% of the global revenue share in 2023. Rapid urbanization coupled with increasing demand for energy-efficient products is expected to drive the demand for heat pumps in the residential sector
  • The industrial application segment is expected to witness a CAGR of 8.0% over the forecast period. The increasing number of new industrial facilities being established worldwide is fueling the global demand for heat pumps
  • Asia Pacific accounted for 52.6% of the global revenue share in 2023. The rising trend of shifting production bases to emerging economies, mainly China and India, is expected to positively influence the growth of the heat pump industry over the forecast period
  • In February 2023, Hitachi introduced the Yutaki M R32 monobloc air-to-water heat pump. Even in sub-zero temperatures, the 4-ton and 3-ton systems have 140°F heating capacity
  • In May 2022, Midea launched the EVOX heat pump system. The new product is available in six sizes from 1.5–5 tons. These are capable of 100% heating output at -20°C

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, a 30% tax credit can be claimed for buying a property in the U.S. that has qualified heat pumps installed in connection with an existing or new dwelling unit. Italy's Conto Termico incentive scheme provides grants that cover 30-35% of costs of installing renewable heating systems in buildings. Australia also provides national grants to municipals for heat pump installation. Moreover, heat pump industry is significantly affected by the availability of raw materials, such as metals like iron & steel, adhesives, rubber, chemicals, and plastics. Thus, fluctuations in raw material prices have a direct impact on manufacturing costs, which can limit market growth to some extent.

The temperature of soil in most areas of the U.S. is warmer than air during winters and cooler in summers. Ground source heat pumps use the ground's constant temperature to cool and heat buildings. According to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), GHPs are the most cost-effective, environmentally clean, and energy-efficient systems for cooling and heating buildings, including homes, offices, schools, and hospitals, owing to which demand for heat pumps is expected to increase in the U.S. over the forecast period.

Heat Pump Market Report Scope

Report Attribute

Details

Market size value in 2024

USD 96.7 billion

Revenue forecast in 2030

USD 166.6 billion

Growth rate

CAGR of 9.4% from 2024 to 2030

Base year for estimation

2023

Historical data

2018 - 2022

Forecast period

2024 - 2030

The U.S. government has provided personal tax credits and direct incentives on product installation, which encourage the installation of heat pumps. Improving energy efficiency across various industries is one of the major objectives of governments across the world. The rising need for renewable energy sources, along with extensive government support in the form of subsidies, incentives, and other monetary benefits, is projected to fuel market growth over the forecast period. Air Source technology is expected to dominate the market in the U.S. over the forecast period due to rising awareness about adverse effects of greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, increasing population along with increasing need for eco-friendly air conditioning in housing sector is expected to drive demand for air-source technology in the U.S.

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Mrudula Anil Karmarkar

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Mrudula Anil Karmarkar
Joined: July 2nd, 2020
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