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Posted by adeliajames on December 1st, 2016

Pegasus Bets 

A brave new world in racing is dawning with the advent of Polytrack and the other synthetic racing surfaces. In recent decades, the breeding industry has invested untold millions in an attempt to "breed for speed." About 75% of all modern thoroughbreds can be traced back to a single horse: Northern Dancer (deceased 1990). Everything that makes a racehorse successful in America is changing, almost overnight. The progeny of stallions like Mr. Prospector (deceased 1999) and Northern Dancer, and their progeny, may lose some of their influence unless their descendants perform well on the new engineered surfaces. At first glance, some of the more successful "Polytrack sires" are Storm Cat (a grandson of Northern Dancer), Deputy Minister (also a grandson of Northern Dancer), Dynaformer (another grandson of Northern Dancer), With Approval (a great-grandson of Northern Dancer), Forty Niner (a son of Mr. Prospector), Carson City (a son of Mr. Prospector and great-great-grandson of Northern Dancer), Gone West (a son of Mr. Prospector), and Sadler's Wells (a son of Northern Dancer). It is apparent that Northern Dancer and Mr. Prospector are well represented in this list. More and more dirt tracks are being replaced with engineered (synthetic) surfaces, and the breeding industry will be keeping a close eye on all the developments.

It is my opinion that Northern Dancer progeny will probably fare better on Polytrack than Mr. Prospector's progeny. We have seen that Storm Cat, by all accounts a great source of Polytrack aptitude, is a grandson of Northern Dancer. Successful Polytrack stallions Deputy Minister and Sadler's Wells are first or second-generation descendants of Northern Dancer. Northern Dancer sired some of the world's greatest turf champions, including Nijinsky II, Sadler's Wells, and The Minstrel. And the correlation between turf success and Polytrack success would seem to indicate that the descendants of these turf champions will do well on the engineered surfaces. Northern Dancer, however, does not provide a source of great endurance, so his progeny are probably better suited to races on Polytrack of a mile and one-eighth or less.



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adeliajames

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adeliajames
Joined: July 15th, 2016
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