I8217m Sure Banny Already Knows But8230

Posted by Melissa Underwood on October 18th, 2017

Brian Bannister made quite the saber splash this off-season when he profe sed his love of sabermetrics and advanced statistical analysis to unearth precisely what will make him succe sful. One of his goals involved staying in front of the hitters, which may consequently reduce his BABIP against. For the most part, this worked in 2007, as he kept hitters away having a .266 BABIP. This well underneath the average mark helped his 3.87 ERA vastly outdo his 4.40 FIP.

In addition to balls put in play against him failing more often than De'Anthony Thomas Jersey most others to lead to hits, his HR/FB was a really low 6.8%. If the typical within this category is around 11-12%, then not just was he succe sful in preventing hits, but he didnt quit much in the home run department either. So why some.40 FIP? Well, he didnt strike anyone out and the BB/9 wasn't ridiculously low in accordance with the strikeout total. All told, his K/BB would be a meager 1.75 last year.

This year, everything has seemingly changed. His 5.96 ERA has ended two full runs worse, his HR/FB has just about Eric Murray Jersey doubled to 12%, and 11 of his 25 starts have resulted in five or even more earned runs cro sing home plate. His latest start featured ten runs in one inning. Though he's definitely had some good games this year, when 44% of your starts involve 5+ earned runs, then either your controllable skills have faltered or you are extremely unlucky or both.

If his controllable skills had truly imploded, then his FIP likely wouldnt be just a half-run higher than last year. Despite his 5.96 ERA, his FIP is really a run lower at 4.94. His HR/9 has jumped from 0.82 to 1.41, but his K/BB has risen from 1.75 to at least one.94. Additionally, according to Tamba Hali Jersey the xFIP statistic kept in the Hardball Timeswhich normalizes the home run element of FIPBannister has been pitching better this year.

Last year, when his ERA was 3.87 and FIP was 4.40, his xFIP was 5.14. This season, at 5.96 and 4.94, respectively, his xFIP measures 4.79. While he outdid his xFIP in both cases last year within the positive direction, both his ERA and FIP did the opposite this season. Its hard to convince people who someone with numbers seemingly as poor as hisa -2.02 WPA, -2.36 REW, and -1.39 WPA/LIis actually conducting a bit better than annually by Kenny Cook Jersey which his surface numbers looked pretty solid, however this does seem to be the situation.

Im sure Banny the mathematics Whiz already is aware of this, however for any Royals fan upset together with his performance, it isnt nearly as bad as it looks.

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Melissa Underwood

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Melissa Underwood
Joined: October 9th, 2017
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