US Inverted Yield Curve indicates Slow Economic Growth

Posted by Deeksha on October 22nd, 2019

Yield curves are obtained by plotting interest rates of various types of bonds that include short term, medium term and long term bonds in the order of their issue. Economists monitor the interest rates to plot yield curve for display as path of any state’s economy. An intelligence report titled, “US inverted yield curve: Economic recession indicator suggests difficult times ahead” is the source of all the stated insights. This report is the latest addition to Market Research Hub’s ever growing repository. Complex mathematical models are employed to forecast economy growth and upcoming recessions. Interest rates, monetary aggregates and stock price indexes are considered as important indicators in theses mathematical models. Yield curve is globally accepted as important indicator of recession and takes shape based on current monetary policies. Increase in short rate flattens yield curve indicating slow growth in nearing terms.

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Investors challenge recession broadcast

Yield curve graphically depicts U.S treasury bond yields at multiple maturities which is currently inverted. Yield curve inversion signifies falling of US treasury 10 year bond interest rates below 3 month bill rate. 25% to 30% recession can be expected for a period of 12 months. It gives a belief to investors that the Federal Reserve in US that controls federal fund rates will go on reducing short term rates.

US inverted yield curve also indicates towards tightening credit conditions that will influence economic activities in future. It squeezes bank profits that it earns by borrowing short term loan at low rates and increases bank’s cost to borrow funds. The revenue generated by falling loans, prompts banks to get strict on lending, thereby curtailing consumer spending and business investments.

Some investors differ the predicted recession and believe that although interest rates fall in future, the economy will not enter recessions. They expect current interest rates in U.S to be an impact of low global rates due to foreign economic issues.

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US inverted yield curve: Report Synopsis

Quantitative and qualitative assessment exhort intelligence and overarching report on the US inverted yield curve. Further, the report thoroughly delineates various aspects of the market that will potentially have considerable influence on the development of the US inverted yield curve. As such, those aspects incorporate drivers, trends, restraints, and opportunities. Furthermore, the report elucidates segregation of the market that provides an exhaustive analysis on US inverted yield curve.

An insightful and deep-dive assessment of the competitive assessment of the US inverted yield curve pins hope on Porters’ Five Force Analysis. Accordingly, the Porters’ Five Force Analysis offers a pressing analysis on the potential strategies of the preeminent players in the US inverted yield curve. In addition, the business strategies counts on company overview, product portfolio, SWOT analysis, key differentiation and recent development.

US inverted yield curve: Research Methodology

Primary sources and secondary sources propel intelligence report on US inverted yield curve that provide deep dive analysis on the market. As such, the report provides reliable and unbiased projections, and assessments which have palpable impact on the market size and historical data. Besides, the report also counts on primary sources which hinges upon in-depth and intelligent analysis from well-grounded and reliable experts, telephonic interview, and a thorough assessment from surveys and seasoned analyst.

 


Deeksha

About the Author

Deeksha
Joined: January 3rd, 2019
Articles Posted: 12,334

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