NFL Props- What You Need to Know
Posted by Abraham Rothgar on December 8th, 2020
Point spreads, game totals, and straight money line wagers are great, but when it comes to betting in NFL Props, the list of options extends more. Proposition bets have become the centerpiece of the NFL betting; however, each year, sportsbooks offer better efforts to provide more and more props for bettors to peruse and wager on as they please.
NFL Props Betting Overview
Proposition bets are also known as wagers made regarding the occurrence or non-occurrence of an event that doesn't directly affect the game's outcome. NFL Props bets allow bettors to act on a specific game within a game without being concerned about the final score. With so many different types of game wandering options, the list of prop bets offered in a single game may go on and on. Players' specific props are mainly designed to provide odds on stat lines for the most noteworthy stars in the game.
NFL Props Strategy
The art of handicapping prop bets is similar to any other sports betting. Yet, there are a few other differences. If bettors know which strategies to implement, it will help them to find a way to succeed. Below are a few essential things to note when venturing into the vast world of NFL props.
EV and Juice
Similar to any form of sports betting, the key to a successful and profitable NFL prop betting venture is to find value in lines. As a bettor, you need opportunities with a positive expected value. For any betting action and keep their books balanced, oddsmakers attach "juice" to their NFL prop betting lines. "Juice" is the amount charged by the sportsbook for taking a bet from a gambler. The greater the juice, the higher is the likelihood that the side of the betting offers bits. Therefore, sportsbooks need more money relative to the payout they will distribute.
Research player and usage rates
Skill prop bets most often deal with specific player outcomes; therefore, you need to study specific players and team treads for NFL prop betting action. Knowing the team well and applying the past results in similar situations is the best way to find edges on prop offerings.
Predict the game script
When choosing the prop bets, you will undoubtedly want to know how to play the game. For example, if you participate in one team jumping out to an early lead, it will result in the trailing team throwing the ball more to preserve the clock and comeback on the scoreboard. The game script will have a higher probability of QB passing yards prop going over, and therefore, the team's top receiver will have a big day.
Sharp Prop betting trends
There is a lot to learn from how professional bettors play prop bets as well. The old "Pros vs. Joe's" adage refers to a game where sharp and public money oppose each other. The public will often bet on what they want to see in a game, which is always scoring and player achievements. The mentality translates into a lot of "Yes" and "Over" wagers on game props. In most cases, pro bettors are against the public on many props, taking the sides of "No" and "Under," especially on big games like the Super Bowl. It will help the influx of money from the public increase the value of the opposite side of the bet.
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